Final Score: Nationals 11 - Reds 6
Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-19 Rating 1451
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
18-15 Rating 1489
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 245 269
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 33 33
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.8
Win percentage 42% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 53%