Final Score: Mets 5 - Red Sox 1
Wednesday, May 21, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Mets @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
29-20 Rating 1538
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Red Sox
25-25 Rating 1497
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Red Sox
All-time wins 22 28
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.8 4.2
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Red Sox
Games played 49 50
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.5
Win percentage 59% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 56%