Final Score: Mets 8 - Royals 3
Friday, July 11, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Mets @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
53-41 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Royals
46-48 Rating 1483
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Royals
All-time wins 12 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.7 4.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Royals
Games played 94 94
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.6
Win percentage 56% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 49%