Final Score: Blue Jays 13 - Mariners 4
Wednesday, October 15, 2025 at 8:08 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
97-71 Rating 1538
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.3
Mariners
95-74 Rating 1541
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Mariners
All-time wins 228 213
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Mariners
Games played 168 169
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 58% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 63%