Final Score: Tigers 2 - Mariners 3
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:03 PM ET
Tigers @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Tigers | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 235 | 215 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Tigers | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 166 | 163 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 62% |
Recent Results
Tigers
@ Seattle Mariners
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Oct 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Mariners
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Houston Astros
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Houston Astros
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Houston Astros
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0