Final Score: Blue Jays 8 - Mariners 2
Thursday, October 16, 2025 at 8:33 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 229 | 213 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 13 | 4 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 169 | 170 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 62% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Seattle Mariners
Oct 15, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Yankees
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs New York Yankees
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
vs New York Yankees
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Mariners
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 15, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 17
4-13
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5