Final Score: Astros 5 - Guardians 8
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Astros @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 52 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 2 |
| Stat | Astros | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 24 | 24 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.9 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 18% | 64% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
Guardians
vs Houston Astros
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0