Final Score: Astros 2 - Guardians 0
Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Astros @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
9-16 Rating 1506
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Guardians
14-11 Rating 1527
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Guardians
All-time wins 52 50
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Guardians
Games played 25 25
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 6.0 4.4
Win percentage 36% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 67%