Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Yankees 1
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
21-27 Rating 1518
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.7
Yankees
30-19 Rating 1558
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Yankees
All-time wins 338 406
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.8
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Yankees
Games played 48 49
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.7
Win percentage 44% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 73%