Final Score: Yankees 5 - Mets 2
Friday, May 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
27-17 Rating 1558
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Mets
18-25 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 87 70
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 44 43
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.5 4.1
Win percentage 61% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 43%