Final Score: Yankees 3 - Mets 6
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Yankees @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 88 | 70 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Yankees | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 44 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 41% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ New York Mets
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Texas Rangers
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Texas Rangers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Texas Rangers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
Mets
vs New York Yankees
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Tigers
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Detroit Tigers
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Colorado Rockies
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Colorado Rockies
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Colorado Rockies
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2