Final Score: Pirates 2 - Blue Jays 5
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Pirates @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 10 | 18 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 6 |
| Stat | Pirates | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 51 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 56% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Colorado Rockies
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Rockies
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Colorado Rockies
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Blue Jays
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Yankees
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Yankees
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ New York Yankees
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Yankees
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Detroit Tigers
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Tigers
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Detroit Tigers
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7