Final Score: Pirates 6 - Cardinals 2
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET
Pirates @ Cardinals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 436 | 511 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 0 |
| Stat | Pirates | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 48 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 52% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Colorado Rockies
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Rockies
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Colorado Rockies
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Francisco Giants
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Francisco Giants
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
Cardinals
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Kansas City Royals
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Kansas City Royals
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Kansas City Royals
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Athletics
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Athletics
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Athletics
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ San Diego Padres
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ San Diego Padres
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4