Final Score: Rays 7 - Orioles 9
Monday, May 25, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Rays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
34-16 Rating 1531
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Orioles
23-30 Rating 1488
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Orioles
All-time wins 249 232
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Orioles
Games played 50 53
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.4
Win percentage 68% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 52%