Final Score: Orioles 1 - Rays 4
Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Orioles @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 232 | 247 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 16 |
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 48 | 46 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 77% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 22
6-16
@ Washington Nationals
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Washington Nationals
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 16
3-13
@ Washington Nationals
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Yankees
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs New York Yankees
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Yankees
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Athletics
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Athletics
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Rays
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 22
16-6
vs Miami Marlins
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Miami Marlins
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Miami Marlins
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Boston Red Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Boston Red Sox
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4