Final Score: Phillies 4 - Dodgers 3
Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
29-28 Rating 1542
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.7
Dodgers
37-20 Rating 1588
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Dodgers
All-time wins 269 285
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Dodgers
Games played 57 57
Avg runs scored 3.9 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.2
Win percentage 51% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 66%