Final Score: Padres 2 - Phillies 3
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
32-26 Rating 1535
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
30-29 Rating 1542
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 230 299
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 58 59
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 55% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 47%