Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Marlins 4 - Cardinals 0
Friday, June 26, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Miami
Marlins
42-39 Rating 1495
Form: WWLWW
4 – 0
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.3
St. Louis
Cardinals
42-36 Rating 1503
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 94 139
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 81 78
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 54%