Final Score: Padres 0 - Dodgers 0
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Padres @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.9
Dodgers
44-26 Rating 1584
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Dodgers
All-time wins 437 541
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.6 4.2
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Dodgers
Games played 68 70
Avg runs scored 3.8 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.4
Win percentage 51% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 65%