Cardinals @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Diamondbacks 5
Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
St. Louis
Cardinals
51-45 Rating 1505
Form: LWWLW
3 – 5
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.3
Arizona
Diamondbacks
49-48 Rating 1507
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Diamondbacks
All-time wins 119 77
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Diamondbacks
Games played 96 97
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 53% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 56%