Final Score: Marlins 0 - Astros 0
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
35-35 Rating 1489
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
32-39 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Astros
All-time wins 82 90
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Astros
Games played 70 71
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.1
Win percentage 50% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 46%