Final Score: Tigers 6 - Guardians 7
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
64-75 Rating 1486
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Guardians
70-70 Rating 1506
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Guardians
All-time wins 443 458
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Guardians
Games played 139 140
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 46% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 46%