Final Score: Yankees 3 - Diamondbacks 5
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
89-64 Rating 1560
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.3
Diamondbacks
80-74 Rating 1513
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Diamondbacks
All-time wins 22 17
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 9 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Diamondbacks
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.5
Win percentage 58% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 54%