| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 1986 | 1–2 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 6–4 | Pirates +2 | Dodgers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 4–5 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 1–2 | Rangers +1 | Tigers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 11–5 | Nationals +6 | Nationals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 4–1 | Reds +3 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 3–10 | Guardians +7 | Royals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 9–1 | Angels +8 | Blue Jays +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 1–6 | Giants +5 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 12–7 | Orioles +5 | Orioles +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 1–2 | White Sox +1 | Yankees +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 5–6 | Red Sox +1 | Red Sox +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 1986 | 1–2 | Mets +1 | Mets +0.9 | Regular Season |