| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2004 | 8–4 | Cubs +4 | Cardinals +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 4–7 | Dodgers +3 | Dodgers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 2–9 | Giants +7 | Giants +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 2–4 | Padres +2 | Padres +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 3–4 | White Sox +1 | White Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 2–5 | Marlins +3 | Marlins +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 2–0 | Tigers +2 | Twins +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 6–5 | Rangers +1 | Red Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 9–6 | Reds +3 | Brewers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 6–4 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 11–7 | Royals +4 | Orioles +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 1–2 | Nationals +1 | Nationals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 1–4 | Guardians +3 | Athletics +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 5–2 | Angels +3 | Angels +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2004 | 3–10 | Yankees +7 | Yankees +1.6 | Regular Season |