| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2004 | 6–2 | Dodgers +4 | Dodgers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 4–2 | Red Sox +2 | Red Sox +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 18–6 | Guardians +12 | Mariners +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 1–5 | Athletics +4 | Athletics +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 1–7 | Rockies +6 | Giants +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 3–12 | Royals +9 | Twins +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 5–1 | Padres +4 | Astros +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 2–11 | Rangers +9 | Rangers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 5–1 | Nationals +4 | Braves +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 7–5 | Cardinals +2 | Cardinals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 5–1 | Phillies +4 | Phillies +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 0–8 | Tigers +8 | Yankees +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 2–6 | Pirates +4 | Marlins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 3–2 | Brewers +1 | Cubs +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 16, 2004 | 0–2 | Rays +2 | Rays +0.3 | Regular Season |