| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2004 | 5–3 | Blue Jays +2 | Athletics +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 4–8 | Mariners +4 | Red Sox +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 8–5 | Guardians +3 | Angels +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 6–1 | Giants +5 | Giants +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 13–6 | Padres +7 | Rockies +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 7–4 | Orioles +3 | Royals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 5–4 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 12–6 | White Sox +6 | Rangers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 7–6 | Dodgers +1 | Dodgers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 2–4 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 7–9 | Rays +2 | Yankees +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 4–8 | Reds +4 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 6–5 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 3–1 | Twins +2 | Twins +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 19, 2004 | 6–2 | Nationals +4 | Pirates +0.4 | Regular Season |