| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2004 | 2–4 | Mariners +2 | Athletics +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 0–4 | Cardinals +4 | Cardinals +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 0–4 | Red Sox +4 | Red Sox +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 3–0 | White Sox +3 | White Sox +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 10–3 | Astros +7 | Astros +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 9–4 | Padres +5 | Giants +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 2–4 | Dodgers +2 | Dodgers +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 2–13 | Cubs +11 | Cubs +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 11–1 | Angels +10 | Rangers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 5–7 | Twins +2 | Twins +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 1–2 | Braves +1 | Braves +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 8–3 | Orioles +5 | Red Sox +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 13–7 | Royals +6 | Royals +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 10–8 | Marlins +2 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 0–1 | Yankees +1 | Yankees +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 22, 2004 | 4–1 | Nationals +3 | Mets +0.5 | Regular Season |