| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2004 | 6–9 | Red Sox +3 | Yankees +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 3–2 | Rockies +1 | Diamondbacks +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 3–0 | Padres +3 | Dodgers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 2–9 | Athletics +7 | Athletics +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 2–6 | Mariners +4 | Angels +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 9–2 | Tigers +7 | White Sox +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 0–6 | Cardinals +6 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 1–9 | Astros +8 | Astros +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 8–4 | Twins +4 | Twins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 2–3 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 5–6 | Pirates +1 | Pirates +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 4–3 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 1–5 | Guardians +4 | Guardians +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 4–6 | Nationals +2 | Marlins +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 25, 2004 | 3–5 | Blue Jays +2 | Blue Jays +0.6 | Regular Season |