| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2004 | 1–2 | Dodgers +1 | Dodgers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 8–7 | Reds +1 | Giants +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 7–5 | Phillies +2 | Padres +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 6–11 | Diamondbacks +5 | Marlins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 11–8 | Cubs +3 | Cubs +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 0–11 | Royals +11 | White Sox +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 3–6 | Twins +3 | Twins +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 4–5 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 5–4 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 6–5 | Mets +1 | Mets +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 6–8 | Yankees +2 | Yankees +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 3–6 | Orioles +3 | Mariners +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 4–5 | Rays +1 | Red Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 14–5 | Guardians +9 | Blue Jays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 4, 2004 | 8–0 | Rangers +8 | Rangers +0.7 | Regular Season |