| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2004 | 5–8 | Giants +3 | Giants +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 4–2 | Marlins +2 | Dodgers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 5–4 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 8–7 | Pirates +1 | Pirates +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 5–10 | Cardinals +5 | Cardinals +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 2–5 | Rangers +3 | Rangers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 3–1 | Athletics +2 | Athletics +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 16, 2004 | 4–8 | Red Sox +4 | Red Sox +0.9 | Regular Season |