| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2004 | 5–6 | Dodgers +1 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 5–3 | Giants +2 | Giants +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 9–0 | Red Sox +9 | Red Sox +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 13–6 | White Sox +7 | Angels +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 7–10 | Rangers +3 | Rangers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 0–9 | Reds +9 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 8–6 | Rays +2 | Royals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 1–8 | Braves +7 | Braves +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 3–2 | Twins +1 | Twins +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 5–2 | Yankees +3 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 4–5 | Athletics +1 | Athletics +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 2–13 | Rockies +11 | Padres +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 2–5 | Cubs +3 | Cubs +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 2–5 | Pirates +3 | Astros +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 11, 2004 | 11–9 | Phillies +2 | Phillies +0.4 | Regular Season |