| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2007 | 2–6 | Giants +4 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 1–5 | Angels +4 | Angels +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 5–3 | Mets +2 | Mets +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 2–0 | Red Sox +2 | Twins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 6–3 | Tigers +3 | Tigers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 2–3 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 0–10 | Brewers +10 | Brewers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 1–7 | Rangers +6 | Rangers +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 0–4 | Braves +4 | Braves +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 5–2 | Athletics +3 | Athletics +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 6–5 | Rockies +1 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 2–3 | Orioles +1 | Guardians +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 4–5 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 15–11 | Mariners +4 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2007 | 4–6 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.3 | Regular Season |