| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2009 | 3–5 | Dodgers +2 | Dodgers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 3–4 | Mariners +1 | Mariners +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 5–3 | Angels +2 | Angels +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 4–3 | Giants +1 | Giants +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 5–2 | Diamondbacks +3 | Cubs +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 9–7 | Brewers +2 | Cardinals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 4–13 | Twins +9 | Twins +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 10–2 | Yankees +8 | Yankees +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 4–5 | Orioles +1 | Blue Jays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 7–12 | Red Sox +5 | Red Sox +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 6–7 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 2–1 | Nationals +1 | Braves +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 0–6 | Reds +6 | Reds +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 0–4 | Mets +4 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2009 | 3–5 | Tigers +2 | Tigers +0.3 | Regular Season |