| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 2–5 | Mariners +3 | Mariners +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 2–1 | Pirates +1 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 1–4 | Athletics +3 | Athletics +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 8–3 | Rays +5 | Rays +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 7–3 | Guardians +4 | Guardians +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 3–4 | Cubs +1 | Dodgers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 6–3 | Rangers +3 | Twins +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 7–11 | Red Sox +4 | Red Sox +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 6–1 | Braves +5 | Nationals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 3–7 | Yankees +4 | Yankees +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 5–6 | Phillies +1 | Brewers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 3–9 | Marlins +6 | Diamondbacks +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 9–0 | White Sox +9 | Reds +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 6–8 | Rockies +2 | Giants +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 12–4 | Giants +8 | Giants +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 1–7 | Cubs +6 | Dodgers +0.7 | Regular Season |