Final Score: Mavericks 116 - Warriors 126
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET
Mavericks @ Warriors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mavericks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 98 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 109.1 | 108.0 |
| Last meeting | 102 | 126 |
| Stat | Mavericks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 30 |
| Avg points scored | 113.6 | 114.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.4 | 112.3 |
| Win percentage | 39% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 23% | 69% |
Recent Results
Mavericks
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 261
131-130
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 232
113-119
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 235
114-121
vs Detroit Pistons
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 230
116-114
@ Utah Jazz
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 273
133-140
vs Brooklyn Nets
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 230
119-111
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 231
122-109
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 243
111-132
vs Miami Heat
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 226
118-108
@ Denver Nuggets
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 252
131-121
Warriors
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 217
120-97
vs Phoenix Suns
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 235
119-116
@ Phoenix Suns
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 197
98-99
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 267
131-136
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 247
120-127
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 214
123-91
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 193
99-94
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 197
98-99
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 236
112-124
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 200
104-96