Final Score: Rockets 104 - Mavericks 110
Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Rockets @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rockets
21-10 Rating 1739
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
77%
23%
Projected margin: Houston Rockets +5.8
Mavericks
12-23 Rating 1324
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rockets Mavericks
All-time wins 114 105
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 105.1 104.1
Last meeting 109 122

Key Season Stats

Stat Rockets Mavericks
Games played 31 35
Avg points scored 120.5 113.6
Avg points conceded 111.5 117.9
Win percentage 68% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 47%