Final Score: Nuggets 117 - Warriors 128
Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

Nuggets @ Warriors

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nuggets
36-21 Rating 1640
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Golden State Warriors +0.9
Warriors
29-27 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nuggets Warriors
All-time wins 113 95
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 111.5 111.0
Last meeting 129 104

Key Season Stats

Stat Nuggets Warriors
Games played 57 56
Avg points scored 120.9 115.4
Avg points conceded 116.1 113.8
Win percentage 63% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 62%