Final Score: Spurs 113 - Thunder 122
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Spurs @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
71-23 Rating 1986
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +3.1
Thunder
72-19 Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Thunder
All-time wins 126 105
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 103.9 102.3
Last meeting 122 115

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Thunder
Games played 94 91
Avg points scored 119.5 119.2
Avg points conceded 110.5 107.7
Win percentage 76% 79%
Away win % / Home win % 73% 81%