| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2004 | 100–108 | Heat +8 | Heat +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2004 | 94–91 | Nets +3 | Hornets +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2004 | 97–107 | Cavaliers +10 | Timberwolves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2004 | 123–94 | Mavericks +29 | Mavericks +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2004 | 91–100 | Clippers +9 | Clippers +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2004 | 93–104 | Kings +11 | Kings +8.6 | Regular Season |