| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2007 | 81–88 | Heat +7 | Heat +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2007 | 95–120 | Jazz +25 | Jazz +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2007 | 85–91 | Cavaliers +6 | Cavaliers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2007 | 111–93 | Warriors +18 | Pistons +11.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2007 | 88–74 | Spurs +14 | Spurs +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2007 | 81–99 | Magic +18 | Magic +5.9 | Regular Season |