| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2007 | 91–83 | Heat +8 | Heat +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 92–84 | Hornets +8 | Celtics +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 98–90 | Mavericks +8 | Mavericks +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 72–90 | Spurs +18 | Spurs +13.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 104–103 | Clippers +1 | Bucks +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 95–89 | Timberwolves +6 | Kings +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 108–106 | Wizards +2 | Thunder +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 21, 2007 | 85–92 | Raptors +7 | Raptors +6.1 | Regular Season |