| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2009 | 79–95 | Heat +16 | Heat +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 85–94 | Thunder +9 | Thunder +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 98–104 | Knicks +6 | Rockets +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 113–88 | Trail Blazers +25 | Trail Blazers +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 90–83 | Timberwolves +7 | Bucks +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 86–101 | Pelicans +15 | Pelicans +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 26, 2009 | 103–87 | Suns +16 | Suns +3.8 | Regular Season |