| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2009 | 86–105 | Jazz +19 | Jazz +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 105–95 | Mavericks +10 | Magic +9.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 110–105 | Spurs +5 | Spurs +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 95–119 | Heat +24 | Heat +11.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 126–117 | Lakers +9 | Lakers +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 113–97 | Grizzlies +16 | Wizards +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 97–89 | Trail Blazers +8 | Pelicans +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 2, 2009 | 81–129 | Suns +48 | Suns +11.2 | Regular Season |