| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2009 | 94–86 | Hawks +8 | Timberwolves +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 115–88 | Nets +27 | Nets +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 107–93 | Bulls +14 | Pelicans +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 107–102 | Cavaliers +5 | Cavaliers +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 99–104 | Mavericks +5 | Mavericks +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 114–113 | Nuggets +1 | Nuggets +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 90–93 | Pistons +3 | Pistons +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 112–124 | Warriors +12 | Suns +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 93–104 | Grizzlies +11 | Rockets +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 96–125 | Magic +29 | Magic +17.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2009 | 115–107 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +7.2 | Regular Season |