| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2009 | 105–99 | Spurs +6 | Celtics +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 84–101 | Magic +17 | Magic +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 92–96 | Heat +4 | Heat +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 101–91 | Lakers +10 | Cavaliers +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 107–97 | Suns +10 | Pistons +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 96–116 | Warriors +20 | Jazz +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 117–119 | Wizards +2 | Pacers +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 97–101 | Pelicans +4 | Pelicans +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 108–109 | Trail Blazers +1 | Trail Blazers +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 8, 2009 | 113–116 | Thunder +3 | Thunder +6.1 | Regular Season |