| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2009 | 95–116 | Mavericks +21 | Mavericks +13.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2009 | 120–133 | Warriors +13 | Warriors +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2009 | 91–97 | Heat +6 | Heat +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2009 | 88–102 | Jazz +14 | Jazz +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2009 | 98–67 | Spurs +31 | Spurs +8.4 | Regular Season |