| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2009 | 100–95 | Hornets +5 | Hornets +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 102–105 | Bulls +3 | Rockets +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 99–92 | Thunder +7 | Grizzlies +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 115–120 | Heat +5 | Heat +5.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 93–109 | Bucks +16 | Bucks +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 106–100 | Magic +6 | 76ers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2009 | 89–102 | Jazz +13 | Jazz +14.4 | Regular Season |