| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2009 | 93–100 | Hawks +7 | Jazz +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 99–107 | Heat +8 | Celtics +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 112–116 | Warriors +4 | Warriors +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 79–107 | Magic +28 | Magic +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 93–89 | Mavericks +4 | Trail Blazers +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 99–112 | Nuggets +13 | Nuggets +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 116–111 | Knicks +5 | Pistons +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 102–96 | Lakers +6 | Rockets +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 79–104 | Timberwolves +25 | Timberwolves +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 109–98 | Pelicans +11 | Pelicans +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 11, 2009 | 106–115 | 76ers +9 | 76ers +7.7 | Regular Season |