| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2009 | 102–92 | Spurs +10 | Hawks +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 82–84 | Magic +2 | Magic +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 87–98 | Cavaliers +11 | Cavaliers +13.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 93–95 | Wizards +2 | Hornets +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 106–128 | Mavericks +22 | Mavericks +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 101–88 | Nuggets +13 | Pelicans +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 88–90 | Pacers +2 | Pacers +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 140–135 | Clippers +5 | Knicks +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 106–115 | Raptors +9 | Raptors +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 88–96 | 76ers +8 | 76ers +11.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 25, 2009 | 114–118 | Suns +4 | Suns +1.1 | Regular Season |